According to Gallup:

Gallup’s latest update — based on interviewing conducted through Wednesday, Oct. 29 — shows that 21% of registered voters who plan to vote say they have already voted early or by absentee ballot. This percentage has been increasing steadily over the last two weeks. Another 12% of registered voters say they still plan on voting early, leaving about two-thirds of those who plan on voting who indicate they will actually vote on Election Day itself, next Tuesday.¹

Only 32 states allow early no-excuse pre-election day in-person voting.² In 2006, these states made up for 62% of registered voters.^3.

If what Gallup says is true, more than half of the likely voters in these states will vote early (assume a reasonable margin of error in the numbers reported by the Census Bureau).

References:

¹ http://www.gallup.com/poll/111673/Interest-High-One-Five-Already-Voted.aspx
² http://www.earlyvoting.net/states/abslaws.php
³ http://www.census.gov/population/socdemo/voting/cps2006/tab04a.xls

… that Barack Obama’s numbers about tax cuts just don’t add up.¹

There’s no indication that Obama has changed his tax policy, which states that anyone making under $200,000 would get a tax cut under his administration, and nobody making under $250,000 would be hit with a tax increase.

But Obama has promised tax relief for 95% of tax payers. If you read Tom’s blog post a few days ago, it’s obvious that the 95% does not include tax payers making $200,000, or even $150,000:

“What Obama wants to do is he is basically looking at $120,000 and under among those that are in the middle class, and there is a tax cut for those,” Richardson said in the interview, according to a clip posted on YouTube.

References:

¹ http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/31/low-richardson-pegs-middle-class-making/

We’ve lived in New Hampshire for 11 years and I’ve seen exactly three moose.

The first was a juvenile loping across the highway early one morning when we were on our way to the airport. The second one was trapped underneath the rear axle of an SUV on I89 — not a pretty sight.

The third was a few hours ago in our front yard — yeah!

This country is like an eagle. It takes both a right wing and a left wing to fly.¹

References:
¹ Comment by Janine Turner on O’Reilly, 31 Oct 2008.